predicted “below normal” rainfall in Pakistan for the forthcoming monsoon season, which runs from June to September 2023.
According to a statement from SASCOF, save for some areas in the foothills of the Himalayas, minimum and maximum temperatures across South Asia, including Pakistan, are predicted to be “above normal.”
"The Pacific and Indian Ocean temperatures are not conducive to a robust monsoon season in South Asia, particularly in Pakistan. Between June and September 2023, Sindh and Balochistan in Pakistan are likely to experience below-average rainfall, according to Dr. Sardar Sarfraz, the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) chief meteorological officer (CMO) in Sindh, who is also Pakistan's representative at the 25th session of SASCOF.
During the 25th session of SASCOF-25, which took place between April 27 and 29, meteorologists and hydrologists from South Asian nations, including Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Nepal, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Bhutan, Maldives, and Myanmar, as well as the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO), came to consensus on a forecast for the region's monsoon season, which will run from June to September 2023.
He further said that although Gilgit Baltistan and Punjab were likely to see normal rainfall during the monsoon, certain places in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) were anticipated to experience slightly above-average rainfall.
According to Dr. Sarfraz, who quoted the statement, the prediction for the season from June to September 2023 indicates that above-normal minimum temperatures are projected to occur throughout the majority of South Asia, with the exception of certain areas in the foothills of the Himalayas.
According to the consensus prognosis for maximum temperatures for the period of June to September 2023, all except central and portions of southern South Asia are anticipated to have seasonal maximum temperatures above average.
- The official went on to say that since there is significant intraseasonal fluctuation in both rainfall and temperature during the southwest monsoon season, it is advisable to monitor both current seasonal predictions and long-range projections in order to make better decisions.